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Hypothetically Speaking

October 3rd, 2011 by Peter Kreutzer in Player Discussion, Standings Analysis

A fantasy baseball season turns on two axes. The first is the preseason prep, during which we decide who to draft and then do our best to get those guys.

The second is inseason, when we make trades and release players while acquiring others.

Many years ago fantasy baseball's first great stat service operator, Jerry Heath, compiled something he called Hypothetical Standings. These are an attempt to discover what sort of draft each team had, which is an oblique way of looking at how they handled the regular season. The standings below are compiled using the first-week rosters of all the teams in the league and the full season stats applied. This is how we would have finished if we played with our first week roster all season long. (Real hypotheticals are made from the draft rosters, but Cardrunners drafted early enough that I thought it made better sense to include the waivers and trades that were made during the preseason, before the games began.)

 

    HIT PIT TOT Actual
Larry Schechter  42 49 91 78.5
Clark (Olson)  57 32 89 102.5
Strict Beet Juice  37 47 84 59.5
Dalton Del Don  40 33 73 52.5
VuFantasyBaseball  55 15 70 53
Wiggy/Hastings  15 51 66 77.5
Peter  20 39 59 59.5
Derek Carty  31 28 59 94.5
Grey/Jones  27 32 59 73
Revitalized Gimps 27 28 55 61.5
Two Out Wonders  23 19 42 34
Jaime Baird  15 16 31 35.5

I would have ended up in a three-way tie for seventh, rather than a two-way tie. Big deal!

If you would like to look at the spreadsheet, click here. Let me know if you see any significant errors.

2 Responses to “Hypothetically Speaking”

  1. Derek Carty says:

    Wow.  A 35.5 point difference for my team.  Very interesting, Peter.  Thanks for putting this together.

  2. Eric Kesselman says:

    Yeah this was very interesting. Thanks.

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